US attempts to fracture Iran by arming ethnic minorities (Kurds, Baloch, Azeri) but this activates Persian nationalism and unifies the population against external threats; the strategy backfires creating a more cohesive enemy
Status, resolution dates, and latest source for this prediction.
Status
Last updated
Mar 14, 2026, 11:33 AM
Audit history: status and probability changes over time.
Recent updates indicate a growing sense of unity among Persians against external threats, suggesting that the US's actions may not lead to the intended fracture.
Where this prediction was made.
Video date: Mar 5, 2026
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