Predictions

Iran is three times the size of Iraq with mountainous terrain; most military analysts consider a ground invasion suicidal; Iran has been preparing for this scenario for 20 years; foreign minister says they are waiting for US troops

Iran draws the US into an unwinnable ground war

Carpet bombing cities unifies urban progressives with rural religious populations eliminating the main internal division in Iranian society; people no longer see each other as enemies but see Americans as the enemy

Iran becomes stronger internally through the war

US decapitation strategy solves Iran's elite overproduction problem; killing old leaders creates upward mobility and allows more capable meritocratic leadership to emerge making Iran's command structure leaner and more effective

Iran becomes stronger internally through the war

Iran uses hide-and-strike guerrilla tactics from mountain fortress terrain; it only needs to be a persistent threat while the US is pressured to win quickly due to lack of political will and manufacturing capacity

Iran emerges as dominant regional power (Rise of Persia)

Iran deliberately provokes continued escalation through attacks on GCC and Israel forcing the US to either retreat (losing credibility) or invade (falling into a trap); Iran wants America to invade

Iran draws the US into an unwinnable ground war

The Trump administration cannot articulate a coherent rationale for the war; Rubio gives contradictory explanations; no one in government knows why the war is being fought creating strategic incoherence

US loses the war

The real currency of power is not money but human attention and consciousness which creates reality itself; this is presented as the last and final war of human history; whoever wins controls the soul of humanity for all of eternity

The war is ultimately fought for control of human consciousness

Eschatological convergence across Jewish extremist, Christian Zionist, and Freemason traditions all require the Third Temple; Israeli political and religious leaders actively discuss this; the war provides cover for the act

Al-Aqsa mosque will be destroyed to build the Third Temple

Air war fails to force surrender; inverted cost pyramid (air-heavy) is unsustainable; Israel, Saudi Arabia, and Iran all have strategic incentives to draw the US into a ground war; mission creep escalates involvement

US will send ground troops and institute a national draft

Escalation ladder must be followed sequentially and biochemical weapons haven't been used yet; Israel prefers a prolonged war that weakens the US; political/moral taboo and multi-dimensional constraints (troop morale, public opinion, ally relations) prevent use

Nuclear weapons will not be used in this war